Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 66.717996 75.424702 84.358551 94.178269 104.636905 115.413355 127.326869
2025-06-08 52.376005 64.694977 77.949896 93.137776 109.931563 127.816704 148.189970
2025-06-15 45.118535 59.540413 75.600537 94.535302 115.992249 139.322846 166.385996
2025-06-22 39.726450 55.665524 73.963090 96.064586 121.619149 149.868423 183.102863
2025-06-29 34.162299 50.912671 70.737164 95.249678 124.131196 156.544191 195.161779
2025-07-06 28.833161 45.879081 66.701212 93.054887 124.677570 160.677558 204.074433
2025-07-13 26.955283 44.990220 67.522981 96.504776 131.711180 172.171152 221.317911
2025-07-20 24.719929 43.399270 67.290026 98.522446 136.927404 181.471386 235.978195
2025-07-27 21.761506 40.552505 65.244322 98.117604 139.083409 187.072161 246.256445
2025-08-03 19.006208 37.725398 63.019506 97.314625 140.614503 191.825475 255.456763
2025-08-10 17.071280 35.897151 61.977785 97.902591 143.765956 198.444875 266.805855
2025-08-17 14.945179 33.573705 60.110950 97.297234 145.334899 203.089531 275.760480
2025-08-24 13.290556 31.847520 58.994466 97.642799 148.106049 209.234476 286.588443
2025-08-31 11.393151 29.525705 56.896918 96.577241 149.012994 213.060836 294.614624
2025-09-07 10.377136 28.572065 56.693606 98.005120 153.068083 220.722197 307.245062
2025-09-14 9.491477 27.749463 56.620642 99.566843 157.268436 228.550095 320.077145
2025-09-21 8.125135 25.884916 54.875658 98.734650 158.292780 232.394506 328.039906
2025-09-28 6.615382 23.517635 52.208932 96.492959 157.375171 233.745415 332.903583
2025-10-05 6.415395 23.756245 53.611000 100.016363 164.088266 244.685003 349.541827
2025-10-12 5.949272 23.380434 54.003504 102.076521 168.847106 253.164700 363.167460
2025-10-19 5.084438 22.013574 52.719847 101.663184 170.259211 257.388486 371.532563
2025-10-26 4.250686 20.561505 51.203980 100.843310 171.074663 260.820713 378.895538
2025-11-02 3.718606 19.732505 50.677764 101.443652 173.790198 266.663201 389.245670